CME Scoreboard
Prediction for CME (2023-12-16T01:48:00-CME-001)
CME Observed Time: 2023-12-16T01:48ZiSWAS Layout URL: https://kauai.ccmc.gsfc.nasa.gov/DONKI/view/CME/28221/-1
CME Note: Weak signatures detected in solar wind at L1 indicate possible arrival. | Very faint CME seen in the south of SOHO LASCO C2/C3. It is not clearly visible in STEREO A COR2 due to the faintness. The leading edge is primarily seen towards the S/SW, and is best seen in SOHO LASCO C2. The potential source is a filament eruption starting around 2023-12-15T20:48Z in SDO AIA 304 that is also visible as dimming in SDO AIA and brightening loops in SDO AIA 94 around 2023-12-15T21:05Z. This eruption is also visible in STEREO A EUV 195/304.
CME Shock Arrival Time: 2023-12-20T00:26Z
Observed Geomagnetic Storm Parameters due to CME:
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Predicted Arrival Time: 2023-12-20T06:04Z
Confidence that the CME will arrive: 53.0%
Predicted geomagnetic storm max Kp range due to CME: 3.0 - 4.0
Prediction Method: Average of all Methods
Prediction Method Note:
This is the auto generated average of all submitted predictions for this CMELead Time: -9236.50 hour(s)
Difference: -5.63 hour(s)
Prediction submitted by Auto Generated (CCMC) on 2025-01-07T20:56Z
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